Monday, February 11, 2013

Mary Cummins has top 5% most viewed LinkedIn profiles in 2012

Mary Cummins Real Estate Appraiser Los Angeles, Califonria

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate Appraisals LinkedIn

Mary Cummins of Cummins Real Estate Appraisals has one of the top 5% most viewed LinkedIn profiles in 2012! Over 500+ connections!



Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Wednesday, February 6, 2013

FEMA uses historical data to predict future flood zones, Mary Cummins


It seems FEMA uses historical flood data to predict future floods. This makes no sense. We know the sea levels are rising. This should be taken into account. If not, people will rebuild homes in flood zones which will not survive floods. This means that FEMA will have to pay for future damages.  More below.


Climate Change Impacts Absent from FEMA's Redrawn NYC Flood Maps

Scientists argue new FEMA flood maps may be too conservative because they don't consider future sea level rise, with implications for Sandy rebuilding.

Feb 6, 2013
FEMA released revised flood zone maps of New York City on January 28. FEMA released revised flood zone maps of New York City on January 28. A close-up of Coney Island, Brooklyn is pictured here.
When the federal government releasedupdated flood maps for the New York City region last week, residents were shocked to find that the number of houses and businesses in the region's flood zone had doubled since the maps were last revised, in 1986.

But it now appears that those maps might have underestimated the extent of New York's flood risk, because they don't factor in the effects of future climate change. Scientists say that by the 2080s, sea levels off the city's coast could rise by as much as five feet from melting glaciers, making storm surges more severe and causing floods much further inland than the new maps indicate.

The maps also don't incorporate data from Hurricane Sandy, which caused catastrophic flooding in the nation's financial capital. Many structures destroyed by the superstorm are not included in the newly drawn flood zones.

If future sea level rise had been taken into account, the flood zone would likely have been much larger, said Philip Orton, a physical oceanographer at theStevens Institute of Technology in New Jersey, who served as a technical reviewer on the updated maps.

"The fear is that we'll get a meter [3.3 feet] of [sea level] rise by the end of the century, potentially more," Orton said. "People are rightfully concerned. ... The New York City area isn't ready for the storm surges of today, as we learned from Sandy, let alone what is possible in the future."
The omissions mean the maps already may be outdated—or will be very soon—some scientists said, with implications for Hurricane Sandy rebuilding efforts, as well as the city's plans for adapting to long-term climate change. The flood maps, which are produced by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), are used to set insurance requirements and building codes. If the New York maps are too conservative, property owners might be wasting their money by rebuilding in especially vulnerable areas or by adapting structures to meet standards that will have to be revised in a few years.

"Old statistics on flood risk are obsolete," said Kevin Trenberth, a distinguished senior scientist in the Climate Analysis Section at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). "Increasingly, [FEMA] should be looking ahead."

FEMA officials who spoke on background to InsideClimate News said future sea level rise wasn't included because the agency has traditionally used historical storm information to determine where flood zones should be set. Incorporating impending climate change simply wasn't part of the process.


http://insideclimatenews.org/news/20130204/climate-change-global-warming-flood-zone-hurricane-sandy-new-york-city-fema-federal-maps-revised-sea-level-rise

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Tuesday, February 5, 2013

DOJ sues S&P for fraud for giving good ratings to bad investments, Mary Cummins

From 1994 to 2004 I followed the stock market very closely. During that time I saw a lot of securities fraud perpetrated by stock promoters, public companies and ratings groups such as S&P. It was a known joke that a buy rating actually meant hold, hold meant sell and sell meant that you already lost your ass. I assumed everyone knew this and didn't rely on their ratings calls. Seems I was wrong.

S&P gave a good rating to mortgage backed securities which were bad investments. This was 2005 to 2007 when the real estate market was in full swing right before the bust. The government had relaxed lending requirements and mortgage brokers made a ton of money refinancing all the equity out of people's homes. I was getting at least five letters a day asking to refi my home. No doc loans were the norm. Some mortgage brokers were still doing the fake tax returns and asset statements. There's a reason all mortgage brokers owned Turbo Tax Pro during this time. Everyone knew this even though this is bank fraud.  Banks were not allowed to check returns with the IRS. Mortgage brokers always had borrowers sign blank applications then they'd fill it in with the "proper" data.

I was telling people in 2006 to not buy real estate as I thought that was the peak. It wasn't the peak. The real peak was mid to late 2007. I'm generally a pessimist and tell people to sell early and buy in late. At least people won't lose money that way.

I thought real estate would probably lose 30-35% value just like the last two busts I'd witnessed. In this case I was an optimist. I did not consider the effect of losses from trading mortgage backed securities that would make the entire house of cards collapse taking banks and jobs with it.

Below is an article which goes into the fraud perpetrated by S&P and the other reviewers. They were paid to review the investments! That doesn't make any sense. Of course they will give them a great rating.

I'm a real estate appraiser. The owner of the property cannot contract with me directly for an appraisal for a loan for purchase or refinance that is backed by the government. Why did the government allow the investment owners to pay S&P for a review?

Time and time again these things happen in our country. The government in cahoots with some big businesses relax government restrictions or turn a blind eye. They allow their friends to defraud smaller investors. Years after everyone has lost their investment, the companies go bankrupt or get bailed out by the government. The investors who lost money don't recoup their losses. They money goes to the companies that ripped them off! They promise this money will save jobs which will trickle down and help the rest of the economy. Doesn't seem like a wise investment to reward people who defraud others.

Read the story below for the specifics.

http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/02/04/u-s-and-states-prepare-to-sue-s-p-over-mortgage-ratings/

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Monday, February 4, 2013

Mt. Olympus celebrates Greek Revival architecture, Mary Cummins

Mt. Olympus is a 300 acre single family housing development in the hills above Hollywood. The ground breaking for the project was June 28, 1963. The developer was Russ Vincent. The homes "celebrate" Greek Revival architecture. I didn't appraise this home but this is the general theme. Over the years people have been opting out of this style and going for modern or Mediterranean instead. The neighborhood was featured in the movie "Hollywood Homocide."

Mt. Olympus housing development in the Hollywood hills celebrates Green Revival architecture
You can access the development off of Laurel Canyon Blvd. just north of Sunset. You can't miss the sign. Take a drive around the steep hill and you'll see some Greek Revival homes with lots of Greek statues. 

Mt. Olympus sign off of Laurel Canyon

Mt. Olympus in 1963.

Here is their Homeowners Association http://www.mtolympus-la.com/
Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Friday, January 25, 2013

Appraisers are not "derailing" home sales, Mary Cummins

This writer below feels that real estate appraisers are holding the market back. The writer states that we consider tax assessment values in our appraisals. No, we don't. That would not be legal or accurate. I clear up a few other misconceptions in the article. I do agree that a buyer should have an appraisal contingency clause. Generally they do in the form of loan contingency. The loan is contingent upon the appraisal. If they are paying cash, then they should have an appraisal contingency clause. I also agree that owners need to consider their improvements carefully. There are articles they can easily find which will tell an owner in different markets which improvements will give them the best return on investment. Slight kitchen remodel, good return. Full kitchen remodel, you won't get all your money back. Now if you really enjoy cooking and will enjoy your kitchen for years while you live there, then it's a good investment for you personally. Just don't expect to get every penny spent back in increased sales price.

The article is linked. My comment is beneath it.

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-appraisers-are-derailing-home-sales-2013-01-25

I'm also a Certified Residential Appraiser with over 28 years of experience. I agree with Mark. We don't look at tax assessment values. They rarely reflect the true value. That's why we sometimes do appraisals for home owners so the tax assessor can adjust their tax value. It would not be legal for us to appraise a property based on its tax value.

In today's real estate sales, refinance market there are some issues with appraisals. The biggest issue is that the homes that are selling now which we use as our matched pairs comparables in our appraisals include short sales, Real Estate Owned (REO) by banks and some not so prime properties. Because the market is finally picking up, anyone who could hold onto their property for increased value would do that. People with very desirable homes are generally staying put and refinancing. They are not selling. This leaves us with few truly comparable sales.

Appraisers as per government mandate Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) and most Letters of Engagement (LOE) from Appraisal Management Companies (AMC) must use the following comparables, i.e. sales within last six months, +/- 15% difference in square footage, within one mile radius, similar age, lot size...range. We must include at least three sales and one listing. We must include a Comparative Market Analysis showing all comps we considered. We must include the range of values of all sales and listings within the last year. Our individual line item and gross adjustments can only vary by a small set percentage. We can deviate slightly from these standards only with a ton of explanation. Still, lenders frown upon it.

We also now must include form 1004MC which shows marketing conditions, i.e. absorption rates, inventory, marketing time, sale to list price ratios... All of my 1004MCs are showing very little inventory. I'm in Los Angeles, California by the way. With few properties on the market, you are getting at list if not above list sales with multiple offers. That's all fine and dandy but the property probably will not be able to appraise that high based on the rules we must follow. The resultant appraised value must fall between the range of our best matched comparables. The buyer will have to put a higher down or pay a higher rate because the loan to value ratio is higher. As things improve this will change but for now, that's the way it is.

A last note, quit blaming appraisers for the real estate booms and busts. It's human nature. Real estate is cyclical just like the stock market. I've been through three recessions. The charting is almost identical.


Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Tuesday, December 25, 2012

Mary Cummins real estate appraiser listed on Appraiser Xsites


Mary Cummins: Los Angeles County's Real Estate Appraiser Expert

Mary Cummins is a certified residential real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California with over 28 years of experience. It doesn't matter what type of home you possess. Our knowledge of local neighborhoods and hours of study as licensed appraisers make us qualified to provide home valuations in Los Angeles County for clients ranging from national mortgage companies to local lenders or individual businesses and consumers.


A licensed appraisal from Mary Cummins is your best source of an unbiased opinion of value when your needs include:
  
Loan originators needing an experienced Los Angeles County appraiser
Divorce settlements when the value of common real estate is needed
Picking the right listing price for your home
Challenging a property's assessed value if you live in an area where real estate values have fallen off
Expert witness testimony when a reliable local authority on California home values is required
Appraisal review: Reviewing the work of other appraisers in or around Los Angeles, California
Unfreezing a frozen HELOC (Home Equity Line of Credit)
Bankruptcy cases where the market value of a house in or around Los Angeles, California is required
Figuring out the market value of home improvements you may have completed or are considering
Getting an accurate, yet affordable, floorplan sketch and appraiser-verified estimate of a home's gross living area
Employee relocation appraisals


http://marycummins.appraiserxsites.com/

Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Monday, December 17, 2012

Mary Cummins, Cummins Real Estate receives 2012 Los Angeles Award


Cummins Real Estate Services Receives 2012 Los Angeles Award

Los Angeles Award Program Honors the Achievement

LOS ANGELES November 13, 2012 -- Cummins Real Estate Services has been selected for the 2012 Los Angeles Award in the Real Estate category by the Los Angeles Award Program.
Each year, the Los Angeles Award Program identifies companies that we believe have achieved exceptional marketing success in their local community and business category. These are local companies that enhance the positive image of small business through service to their customers and our community. These exceptional companies help make the Los Angeles area a great place to live, work and play.

Various sources of information were gathered and analyzed to choose the winners in each category. The 2012 Los Angeles Award Program focuses on quality, not quantity. Winners are determined based on the information gathered both internally by the Los Angeles Award Program and data provided by third parties.

About Cummins Real Estate Services
Mary Cummins is President of Cummins Real Estate Services. She has over 29 years of experience as a real estate broker, appraiser, expert witness and consultant. 

SOURCE: Cummins Real Estate Services

CONTACT:
Mary Cummins
Email: Mary@MaryCummins.com
URL: http://www.MaryCummins.com
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Mary Cummins of Animal Advocates is a wildlife rehabilitator licensed by the California Department of Fish and Game. Mary Cummins is also a licensed real estate appraiser in Los Angeles, California.


Take 3 Film Festival at Plaza de Cultural y Artes by Mary Cummins, Maria Rivera

Take 3 Film Festival presented by East LA Film Festival , Panamanian International Film Festival/LA and La Plaza de Cultura y Artes was hel...